Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky 42 – 51 Middle Tennessee · Middle Tennessee won. We had Middle Tennessee at 45.1% and Western Kentucky at 54.9%.
Ratings before the game: Middle Tennessee 1469, Western Kentucky 1548, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 13 km/h (gusts 17).
The betting market (closing spread) had Middle Tennessee at 46.2%, spread +1.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Middle Tennessee | Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Polymarket | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Kalshi | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Western Kentucky WLWWL, Middle Tennessee LLWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee?
Middle Tennessee won 51–42 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Middle Tennessee 45%.