Pool 4

Bath Rugby

Rated 1561 (No. 14 of 24), 0–1 this season, <1% to win the Champions Cup.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

31%
Reach last 16
7%
Quarter-final
3%
Semi-final
1%
Reach final
<1%
Win
1.8
Projected points

Rating

Bath Rugby is rated 1561, No. 14 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
12 Dec 2026Bath Rugby at Cardiff Blues32%3%65%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
17 Oct 2026Montpellier Hérault at Bath Rugby32–1428%

Questions and answers

What is Bath Rugby's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Bath Rugby is No. 14 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Bath Rugby play next, and what are their chances?

Bath Rugby at Cardiff Blues on 12 December 2026 at Cardiff Arms Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Bath Rugby 32%, a draw 3%.