2026–27 season odds
The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the Champions Cup decided by the league's own format.
Every team
| Team | Reach last 16 | Quarter-final | Semi-final | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leinster | >99% | 85% | 60% | 42% | 30% |
| Glasgow Warriors | >99% | 71% | 38% | 19% | 12% |
| Montpellier Hérault | 98% | 71% | 47% | 25% | 10% |
| Stormers | 100% | 67% | 37% | 21% | 9% |
| Bulls | 100% | 64% | 31% | 19% | 9% |
| Stade Toulousain | 83% | 58% | 34% | 16% | 7% |
| Pau | >99% | 49% | 20% | 10% | 5% |
| Northampton Saints | 90% | 54% | 24% | 11% | 4% |
| Leicester Tigers | 86% | 29% | 19% | 9% | 4% |
| Bordeaux Bègles | 68% | 40% | 18% | 6% | 3% |
| La Rochelle | 98% | 46% | 18% | 7% | 2% |
| Munster | 85% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Gloucester Rugby | 47% | 22% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Connacht | 77% | 31% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| Saracens | 53% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Cardiff Blues | 60% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Bristol Rugby | 47% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Bath Rugby | 31% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Stade Français Paris | 22% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Racing 92 | 52% | 11% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Exeter Chiefs | 65% | 20% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Lions | 24% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Clermont Auvergne | 11% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sale Sharks | 3% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Champions Cup?
Leinster, at 30%, ahead of Glasgow Warriors (12%), Montpellier Hérault (10%) and Stormers (9%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.