PodiumOracle Champions Cup

Rugby union · 2026–27 season

Champions Cup forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Champions Cup odds. Favourite right now: Stade Toulousain, 11%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
16 Oct 2026Bordeaux Begles at Gloucester Rugby34%3%63%
17 Oct 2026Glasgow Warriors at Sale Sharks45%3%51%
17 Oct 2026Stade Francais Paris at Bulls75%3%23%
17 Oct 2026Leinster at Clermont Auvergne38%3%59%
17 Oct 2026Bristol Rugby at Stormers80%2%17%
17 Oct 2026Saracens at Connacht54%3%42%
17 Oct 2026Lions at La Rochelle67%3%30%
17 Oct 2026Racing 92 at Munster65%3%32%
17 Oct 2026Montpellier Herault at Bath Rugby67%3%30%
18 Oct 2026Leicester Tigers at Pau63%3%34%
18 Oct 2026Exeter Chiefs at Stade Toulousain76%2%22%
18 Oct 2026Cardiff Blues at Northampton Saints87%2%12%
11 Dec 2026Pau at Glasgow Warriors72%3%25%
11 Dec 2026Northampton Saints at Stade Francais Paris45%3%51%
12 Dec 2026Stade Toulousain at Lions43%3%54%
12 Dec 2026Clermont Auvergne at Leicester Tigers79%2%19%

Chance of winning the Champions Cup

Every team

TeamReach last 16Quarter-finalSemi-finalReach finalWin
Stade Toulousain65%41%30%18%11%
Leinster77%48%33%18%10%
Northampton Saints67%41%29%17%10%
Montpellier Herault100%69%33%19%10%
Bath Rugby85%51%33%18%9%
Bordeaux Begles64%37%24%13%7%
Exeter Chiefs100%63%25%13%6%
Saracens60%29%19%9%4%
Stormers53%26%16%8%4%
Glasgow Warriors60%30%18%9%4%