Pool 1
Pau
Rated 1672 (No. 8 of 24), 1–0 this season, 5% to win the Champions Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- >99%
- Reach last 16
- 49%
- Quarter-final
- 20%
- Semi-final
- 10%
- Reach final
- 5%
- Win
- 6.5
- Projected points
Rating
Pau is rated 1672, No. 8 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2026 | Pau at Glasgow Warriors | 25% | 3% | 72% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Leicester Tigers at Pau | 17–41 | 68% |
Questions and answers
What is Pau's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?
5%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Pau is No. 8 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Pau play next, and what are their chances?
Pau at Glasgow Warriors on 11 December 2026 at Scotstoun Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Pau 25%, a draw 3%.