6 Nov 2026 · Pride Park
Bolton Wanderers at Derby County
Bolton 1 – 3 Derby · Derby County won. We had Derby County at 45.8%, a draw at 28.1% and Bolton Wanderers at 26.1%.
Ratings before the game: Derby 1433, Bolton 1408, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 8).
The betting market (closing odds) had Derby at 38.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Derby | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.8% | 28.1% | 26.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 38.9% | 27.8% | 33.3% |
| Polymarket | 39.3% | 27.4% | 33.3% |
| Kalshi | 39.2% | 27.5% | 33.3% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Bolton Wanderers WDLLW, Derby County LLDLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2027 | Derby County at Bolton Wanderers | 35% | 29% | 36% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Bolton Wanderers at Derby County?
Derby County won 3–1 on 6 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Derby County 46%.