Football · 2026–27 season

EFL Championship forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Championship odds. Favourite right now: West Ham United, 26%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Queens Park Rangers at West Ham United57%25%19%
10 Oct 2026Birmingham City at West Bromwich Albion42%29%29%
10 Oct 2026Norwich City at Swansea City47%28%25%
10 Oct 2026Bristol City at Charlton Athletic37%29%34%
10 Oct 2026Burnley at Watford28%29%44%
10 Oct 2026Lincoln City at Sheffield United42%29%29%
10 Oct 2026Millwall at Preston North End30%29%41%
10 Oct 2026Wolverhampton Wanderers at Middlesbrough38%29%33%
10 Oct 2026Wrexham at Derby County37%29%34%
10 Oct 2026Stoke City at Bolton Wanderers31%29%40%
10 Oct 2026Cardiff City at Blackburn Rovers48%28%24%
11 Oct 2026Portsmouth at Southampton59%24%17%
13 Oct 2026West Bromwich Albion at Wrexham44%29%28%
13 Oct 2026Bolton Wanderers at Wolverhampton Wanderers68%20%12%
13 Oct 2026Swansea City at Millwall39%29%31%
13 Oct 2026Watford at Cardiff City41%29%30%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Bolton Wanderers at Norwich City4–315%
20 Sep 2026West Bromwich Albion at Wolverhampton Wanderers0–152%
19 Sep 2026Southampton at Wrexham1–230%
19 Sep 2026Preston North End at Queens Park Rangers2–227%
19 Sep 2026Blackburn Rovers at Portsmouth2–229%
19 Sep 2026Swansea City at Lincoln City2–134%
19 Sep 2026Derby County at Burnley1–125%
19 Sep 2026Middlesbrough at Birmingham City2–229%
19 Sep 2026Sheffield United at Stoke City1–238%
19 Sep 2026West Ham United at Millwall2–229%
19 Sep 2026Charlton Athletic at Cardiff City1–337%

Chance of winning the Championship

Every team

TeamWin titleAutomatic promotionPlay-offsPromotedRelegated
West Ham United26%43%35%53%<1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers23%39%36%49%<1%
Southampton12%25%38%37%<1%
Swansea City12%23%37%32%<1%
Middlesbrough11%22%37%31%<1%
Millwall3%7%23%13%3%
West Bromwich Albion3%6%23%11%3%
Burnley2%5%21%11%4%
Wrexham2%5%19%9%4%
Birmingham City2%4%18%9%4%