7 Nov 2026 · Cardiff City Stadium
Burnley at Cardiff City
Burnley 4 – 5 Cardiff · Cardiff City won. We had Cardiff City at 30.7%, a draw at 29.0% and Burnley at 40.2%.
Ratings before the game: Cardiff 1458, Burnley 1545, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 8).
The betting market (closing odds) had Cardiff at 51.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cardiff | Draw | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 30.7% | 29.0% | 40.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 50.4% | 23.4% | 26.2% |
| Polymarket | 50.7% | 22.6% | 26.6% |
| Kalshi | 50.7% | 22.6% | 26.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Burnley DLLDD, Cardiff City WDWLD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2027 | Cardiff City at Burnley | 22% | 26% | 52% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Burnley at Cardiff City?
Cardiff City won 5–4 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Cardiff City 31%.