7 Nov 2026 · St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea City at Birmingham City
Swansea 1 – 2 Birmingham · Birmingham City won. We had Birmingham City at 45.1%, a draw at 28.3% and Swansea City at 26.7%.
Ratings before the game: Birmingham 1556, Swansea 1535, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 8).
The betting market (closing odds) had Birmingham at 50.2%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Birmingham | Draw | Swansea |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.1% | 28.3% | 26.7% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 49.9% | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| Polymarket | 50.7% | 26.6% | 22.6% |
| Kalshi | 51.5% | 26.5% | 22.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Swansea City WLLWL, Birmingham City WWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2027 | Birmingham City at Swansea City | 33% | 29% | 38% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Swansea City at Birmingham City?
Birmingham City won 2–1 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Birmingham City 45%.