8 Nov 2026 · AFAS Stadion
FC Groningen at AZ Alkmaar
FC Groningen 3 – 4 AZ Alkmaar · AZ Alkmaar won. We had AZ Alkmaar at 58.3%, a draw at 24.1% and FC Groningen at 17.6%.
Ratings before the game: AZ Alkmaar 1650, FC Groningen 1552, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 19).
The betting market (closing odds) had AZ Alkmaar at 64.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 58.3% | 24.1% | 17.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 64.0% | 20.0% | 16.0% |
| Polymarket | 64.8% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| Kalshi | 64.8% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: FC Groningen WWLDL, AZ Alkmaar WLDLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2027 | AZ Alkmaar at FC Groningen | 41% | 29% | 30% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won FC Groningen at AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar won 4–3 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave AZ Alkmaar 58%.