Football · 2026–27 season

Eredivisie forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: PSV Eindhoven, 76%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Heerenveen at PSV Eindhoven82%12%6%
10 Oct 2026Sparta Rotterdam at Go Ahead Eagles52%26%21%
10 Oct 2026AZ Alkmaar at Feyenoord Rotterdam58%24%18%
10 Oct 2026FC Twente at Fortuna Sittard20%26%54%
10 Oct 2026NEC Nijmegen at Ajax Amsterdam60%23%16%
11 Oct 2026Willem II at FC Utrecht73%17%10%
11 Oct 2026ADO Den Haag at Telstar62%22%15%
11 Oct 2026SC Cambuur at PEC Zwolle58%24%18%
11 Oct 2026FC Groningen at Excelsior39%29%31%
16 Oct 2026Excelsior at Heerenveen52%27%22%
17 Oct 2026PSV Eindhoven at ADO Den Haag4%9%87%
17 Oct 2026Feyenoord Rotterdam at Telstar15%22%63%
17 Oct 2026Willem II at Sparta Rotterdam60%24%17%
18 Oct 2026Go Ahead Eagles at PEC Zwolle33%29%38%
18 Oct 2026AZ Alkmaar at SC Cambuur13%20%68%
18 Oct 2026Ajax Amsterdam at FC Groningen23%27%50%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Go Ahead Eagles at NEC Nijmegen1–126%
20 Sep 2026PSV Eindhoven at FC Twente2–320%
20 Sep 2026Telstar at AZ Alkmaar0–167%
20 Sep 2026FC Utrecht at Feyenoord Rotterdam0–565%
19 Sep 2026Fortuna Sittard at Willem II1–039%
19 Sep 2026Excelsior at Ajax Amsterdam2–217%
19 Sep 2026Heerenveen at Sparta Rotterdam4–031%
19 Sep 2026SC Cambuur at ADO Den Haag1–128%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop twoRelegation play-offRelegated
PSV Eindhoven76%93%0%0%
Feyenoord Rotterdam15%56%0%0%
AZ Alkmaar3%16%0%0%
Ajax Amsterdam3%18%0%0%
FC Twente3%16%<1%0%
FC Utrecht<1%<1%<1%<1%
NEC Nijmegen<1%<1%1%<1%
Go Ahead Eagles<1%<1%1%<1%
FC Groningen0%<1%1%<1%
Heerenveen0%<1%1%<1%