8 Nov 2026 · De Grolsch Veste
Ajax Amsterdam at FC Twente
Ajax 2 – 2 FC Twente · Draw. We had FC Twente at 40.5%, a draw at 29.0% and Ajax Amsterdam at 30.5%.
Ratings before the game: FC Twente 1709, Ajax 1736, plus 65 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 16).
The betting market (closing odds) had FC Twente at 53.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 40.5% | 29.0% | 30.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 46.6% | 26.0% | 27.4% |
| Polymarket | 53.7% | 22.2% | 24.1% |
| Kalshi | 53.7% | 21.4% | 24.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Ajax Amsterdam DDWWW, FC Twente WDLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2027 | FC Twente at Ajax Amsterdam | 24% | 27% | 48% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Ajax Amsterdam at FC Twente?
It was a 2–2 draw on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 29%.