Round 11 · 12 Nov 2026 · MOVISTAR ARENA
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Real Madrid
We have Real Madrid at 70.9% and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at 29.1%.
Ratings going in: Real Madrid 1630, Crvena Zvezda 1575, plus 100 for playing at home.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Real Madrid | Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 69.3% | 30.7% |
| Polymarket | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Kalshi | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade WLWWW, Real Madrid WWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2027 | Real Madrid at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 44% | 56% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Real Madrid?
PodiumOracle's model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 71%, with Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at 29%. The markets give Real Madrid 68% on Polymarket, 69% on Kalshi and 69% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 71% favourite still loses 29% of the time.
When and where is Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Real Madrid?
12 November 2026, at MOVISTAR ARENA (Round 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.