Cricket · 2026 season over
The Hundred forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Trent Rockets, 15%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets | Manchester Super Giants won by 5 wickets | 46% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants | Manchester Super Giants won by 20 runs | 48% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | London Spirit at Welsh Fire | London Spirit won by 6 runs | 37% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | MI London at Birmingham Phoenix | MI London won by 2 runs | 55% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Sunrisers Leeds at Manchester Super Giants | Manchester Super Giants won by 10 wickets | 52% |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Southern Brave at Trent Rockets | Southern Brave won by 6 wickets | 28% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Welsh Fire at Sunrisers Leeds | Sunrisers Leeds won by 71 runs | 61% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Birmingham Phoenix at London Spirit | London Spirit won by 7 wickets | 59% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Trent Rockets at MI London | Trent Rockets won by 6 wickets | 45% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Manchester Super Giants at Southern Brave | Manchester Super Giants won by 10 runs | 44% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Sunrisers Leeds at Birmingham Phoenix | Sunrisers Leeds won by 45 runs | 51% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | MI London vs London Spirit | MI London won by 4 wickets | 60% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Make play-offs | Straight to the final | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Rockets | 41% | 14% | 28% | 15% |
| MI London | 40% | 15% | 28% | 14% |
| Manchester Super Giants | 41% | 14% | 28% | 14% |
| Sunrisers Leeds | 39% | 13% | 26% | 13% |
| Welsh Fire | 36% | 11% | 23% | 12% |
| Southern Brave | 36% | 12% | 24% | 11% |
| London Spirit | 35% | 11% | 23% | 11% |
| Birmingham Phoenix | 31% | 10% | 20% | 9% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 The Hundred title?
Trent Rockets, at 15%, ahead of MI London (14%), Manchester Super Giants (14%) and Sunrisers Leeds (13%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the next season, on last season's schedule with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's The Hundred predictions?
On 99 games from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 57% of the time. Its log loss was 0.667, against 0.694 for the base rate and 0.667 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.675 against the bookmakers' 0.656 over 34 games and 0.670 against Polymarket's 0.653 over 32 games (lower is better).
How are The Hundred predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.