9 Nov 2026 · Estadio León
Guadalajara at León
Guadalajara 1 – 1 León · Draw. We had León at 30.5%, a draw at 24.8% and Guadalajara at 44.7%.
Ratings before the game: León 1478, Guadalajara 1591, plus 60 for playing at home.
The betting market (closing odds) had León at 25.0%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | León | Draw | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 30.5% | 24.8% | 44.7% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 22.0% | 35.9% | 42.1% |
| Polymarket | 24.4% | 24.4% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi | 24.5% | 24.5% | 51.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Guadalajara DDWWW, León DLWDL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Guadalajara at León?
It was a 1–1 draw on 9 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 25%.