Football · Clausura 2026 season
Liga Profesional forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Boca Juniors, 12%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Instituto (Córdoba) at Independiente | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Gimnasia La Plata at Independiente Rivadavia | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | San Lorenzo at Defensa y Justicia | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Lanús at Newell's Old Boys | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Barracas Central at Atlético Tucumán | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Tigre at Argentinos Juniors | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | Estudiantes de La Plata at Lanús | 1–2 | 42% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Independiente Rivadavia at Barracas Central | 1–0 | 32% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Atlético Tucumán at Aldosivi | 0–1 | 33% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Tigre at Vélez Sarsfield | 2–3 | 48% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at Belgrano (Córdoba) | 1–2 | 56% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Argentinos Juniors at Rosario Central | 0–1 | 41% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Newell's Old Boys at Platense | 1–0 | 29% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Boca Juniors at San Lorenzo | 2–0 | 39% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Talleres (Córdoba) at Instituto (Córdoba) | 1–3 | 42% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Huracán at River Plate | 2–1 | 22% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Independiente at Unión (Santa Fe) | 2–1 | 32% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Banfield at Gimnasia La Plata | 2–2 | 28% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Reach knockouts | Quarter-final | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 95% | 36% | 21% | 12% |
| Rosario Central | 97% | 33% | 17% | 9% |
| Argentinos Juniors | 97% | 32% | 17% | 9% |
| Vélez Sarsfield | 99% | 33% | 17% | 9% |
| Independiente | 87% | 22% | 11% | 6% |
| River Plate | 67% | 18% | 10% | 5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 89% | 23% | 11% | 5% |
| Belgrano (Córdoba) | 84% | 21% | 10% | 5% |
| Huracán | 85% | 20% | 10% | 5% |
| Instituto (Córdoba) | 99% | 27% | 12% | 5% |