Week 4 · 26 Sep 2026 · Kuopion jäähalli
Lukko at KalPa
Lukko 2 – 1 KalPa · Lukko won. We had KalPa at 55.5% and Lukko at 44.5%.
Ratings before the game: KalPa 1526, Lukko 1523, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | KalPa | Lukko |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Polymarket | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Kalshi | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Lukko LLWWW, KalPa WLWLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | KalPa at Lukko | 1–4 | 63% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2026 | Lukko at KalPa | 56% | 45% |
| 28 Dec 2026 | KalPa at Lukko | 35% | 65% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Lukko at KalPa?
Lukko won 2–1 on 26 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Lukko 45%.