Week 10 · 11 Nov 2026 · Rauman jäähalli / Äijänsuo Areena
KalPa at Lukko
KalPa 1 – 4 Lukko · Lukko won. We had Lukko at 63.4% and KalPa at 36.6%.
Ratings before the game: Lukko 1572, KalPa 1512, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Lukko | KalPa |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| Polymarket | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Kalshi | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: KalPa WWWLL, Lukko WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Lukko at KalPa | 2–1 | 45% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2026 | Lukko at KalPa | 56% | 45% |
| 28 Dec 2026 | KalPa at Lukko | 35% | 65% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won KalPa at Lukko?
Lukko won 4–1 on 11 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Lukko 63%.