1 Mar 2026 · America First Field
Seattle Sounders FC at Real Salt Lake
Seattle 1 – 2 Salt Lake · Real Salt Lake won. We had Real Salt Lake at 43.2%, a draw at 25.0% and Seattle Sounders FC at 31.8%.
Ratings before the game: Salt Lake 1479, Seattle 1537, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 12).
The betting market (closing odds) had Salt Lake at 29.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Salt Lake | Draw | Seattle |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 43.2% | 25.0% | 31.8% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 28.9% | 27.7% | 43.4% |
| Polymarket | 28.6% | 27.6% | 43.7% |
| Kalshi | 29.3% | 26.8% | 43.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Seattle Sounders FC W, Real Salt Lake L.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders FC | 0–2 | 55% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2026 | Real Salt Lake at Seattle Sounders FC | 36% | 0% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Seattle Sounders FC at Real Salt Lake?
Real Salt Lake won 2–1 on 1 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Real Salt Lake 43%.