14 May 2026 · Energizer Park
LAFC at St. Louis CITY SC
LAFC 1 – 2 St. Louis · St. Louis CITY SC won. We had St. Louis CITY SC at 39.6%, a draw at 25.3% and LAFC at 35.1%.
Ratings before the game: St. Louis 1461, LAFC 1544, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 20°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 28).
The betting market (closing odds) had St. Louis at 34.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | St. Louis | Draw | LAFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 39.6% | 25.3% | 35.1% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 34.5% | 26.2% | 39.3% |
| Polymarket | 34.3% | 26.4% | 39.3% |
| Kalshi | 34.3% | 25.5% | 40.2% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: LAFC LDWDL, St. Louis CITY SC DLLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | St. Louis CITY SC at LAFC | 0–2 | 68% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2026 | LAFC at St. Louis CITY SC | 34% | 0% | 66% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | St. Louis CITY SC at LAFC | 40% | 0% | 61% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | LAFC at St. Louis CITY SC | 34% | 0% | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won LAFC at St. Louis CITY SC?
St. Louis CITY SC won 2–1 on 14 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave St. Louis CITY SC 40%.