23 Jul 2026 · Providence Park
FC Dallas at Portland Timbers
Dallas 2 – 2 Portland · Draw. We had Portland Timbers at 44.9%, a draw at 24.8% and FC Dallas at 30.3%.
Ratings before the game: Portland 1487, Dallas 1532, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 26°C, wind 12 km/h (gusts 31), rain 0.4 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Portland at 42.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Portland | Draw | Dallas |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.9% | 24.8% | 30.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 42.8% | 25.2% | 32.1% |
| Polymarket | 43.7% | 24.6% | 31.7% |
| Kalshi | 43.4% | 24.1% | 32.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: FC Dallas WWLWW, Portland Timbers WDLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Portland Timbers at FC Dallas | 1–2 | 59% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2026 | Portland Timbers at FC Dallas | 31% | 0% | 69% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | FC Dallas at Portland Timbers | 43% | 0% | 57% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | Portland Timbers at FC Dallas | 31% | 0% | 69% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won FC Dallas at Portland Timbers?
It was a 2–2 draw on 23 July 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 25%.