15 Aug 2026 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Red Bull New York at Atlanta United FC
Red Bull NY 1 – 2 Atlanta · Atlanta United FC won. We had Atlanta United FC at 44.1%, a draw at 24.9% and Red Bull New York at 31.1%.
Ratings before the game: Atlanta 1413, Red Bull NY 1465, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 33°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 17).
The betting market (closing odds) had Atlanta at 45.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Atlanta | Draw | Red Bull NY |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.1% | 24.9% | 31.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 45.9% | 24.2% | 30.0% |
| Polymarket | 45.7% | 23.6% | 30.6% |
| Kalshi | 46.3% | 23.2% | 30.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Red Bull New York DWLLW, Atlanta United FC LLDLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Atlanta United FC at Red Bull New York | 0–3 | 53% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Red Bull New York at Atlanta United FC?
Atlanta United FC won 2–1 on 15 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Atlanta United FC 44%.