30 Aug 2026 · Providence Park
Austin FC at Portland Timbers
Austin 2 – 1 Portland · Austin FC won. We had Portland Timbers at 59.6%, a draw at 21.0% and Austin FC at 19.4%.
Ratings before the game: Portland 1504, Austin 1447, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 19°C, wind 13 km/h (gusts 31).
The betting market (closing odds) had Portland at 54.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Portland | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 59.6% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 54.5% | 23.7% | 21.8% |
| Polymarket | 55.8% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| Kalshi | 56.4% | 22.8% | 20.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Austin FC LLLWD, Portland Timbers WWLWD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Portland Timbers at Austin FC | 2–0 | 32% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Austin FC at Portland Timbers?
Austin FC won 2–1 on 30 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Austin FC 19%.