13 Sep 2026 · PayPal Park
Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes
Houston 0 – 1 San Jose · San Jose Earthquakes won. We had San Jose Earthquakes at 45.1%, a draw at 24.7% and Houston Dynamo FC at 30.1%.
Ratings before the game: San Jose 1494, Houston 1538, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 20°C, wind 12 km/h (gusts 33).
The betting market (closing odds) had San Jose at 39.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | San Jose | Draw | Houston |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 38.7% | 27.7% | 33.6% |
| Polymarket | 39.3% | 26.4% | 34.3% |
| Kalshi | 39.2% | 27.5% | 33.3% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Houston Dynamo FC WLDDW, San Jose Earthquakes LLDDW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FC | 0–0 | 21% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes | 37% | 0% | 63% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FC | 36% | 0% | 64% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes | 37% | 0% | 63% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes?
San Jose Earthquakes won 1–0 on 13 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave San Jose Earthquakes 45%.