24 Oct 2026 · Subaru Park
New England Revolution at Philadelphia Union
New England 2 – 1 Philadelphia · New England Revolution won. We had Philadelphia Union at 61.2%, a draw at 20.4% and New England Revolution at 18.4%.
Ratings before the game: Philadelphia 1580, New England 1511, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 11°C, wind 2 km/h (gusts 5).
The betting market (closing odds) had Philadelphia at 61.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Philadelphia | Draw | New England |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 61.2% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 62.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| Polymarket | 63.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| Kalshi | 63.7% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: New England Revolution WLLWW, Philadelphia Union WWWWD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Philadelphia Union at New England Revolution | 1–2 | 54% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2026 | Philadelphia Union at New England Revolution | 45% | 0% | 55% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | New England Revolution at Philadelphia Union | 30% | 0% | 70% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | Philadelphia Union at New England Revolution | 45% | 0% | 55% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won New England Revolution at Philadelphia Union?
New England Revolution won 2–1 on 24 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave New England Revolution 18%.