Aprilia Racing
Marco Bezzecchi
Rated 1940, 16 wins in 179 starts, 16% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, <1% to win the World Championship.
- 1940
- Rating: rider +344, car or team +97. 16 wins in 179 starts.
- 16%
- To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 49%.
- <1%
- Title chance. 357 points now, projected 390.
Results
Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).
Questions and answers
What are Marco Bezzecchi's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?
16% to win and 49% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What is Marco Bezzecchi's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?
Under 1%, with 357 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.