Aprilia Racing

Marco Bezzecchi

Rated 1940, 16 wins in 179 starts, 16% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, <1% to win the World Championship.

1940
Rating: rider +344, car or team +97. 16 wins in 179 starts.
16%
To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 49%.
<1%
Title chance. 357 points now, projected 390.

Results

Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).

Grand PrixSeasonFinishNoteModel's pick
Grand Prix of Qatar20261
Grand Prix of Qatar sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Malaysia20266
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint20263
Grand Prix of Australia sprint20264
Grand Prix of Indonesia20261
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint2026–DNF
Grand Prix of Japan20263
Grand Prix of Japan sprint20266
Grand Prix of Austria20263
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20263
Grand Prix of San Marino2026–DNF
Grand Prix of San Marino sprint20262
Grand Prix of Aragon20263Favourite
Grand Prix of Aragon sprint20263Favourite
Grand Prix of Great Britain20263
Grand Prix of Great Britain sprint20263
Grand Prix of the Netherlands2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of the Netherlands sprint20264
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Hungary2026–DNFFavourite
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint20263Favourite
Grand Prix of Italy20261Favourite
Grand Prix of Italy sprint20264Favourite
Grand Prix of Catalonia20264
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint20269
Grand Prix de France20262Favourite
Grand Prix de France sprint20263Favourite
Grand Prix of Spain20262
Grand Prix of Spain sprint2026–Not classifiedFavourite
Grand Prix of the United States20261Favourite
Grand Prix of the United States sprint2026–Not classifiedFavourite
Grand Prix of Brazil20261
Grand Prix of Brazil sprint20264
Grand Prix of Thailand20261
Grand Prix of Thailand sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community20251
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community sprint20255
Grand Prix of Portugal20251
Grand Prix of Portugal sprint20253
Grand Prix of Malaysia202511
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint20256
Australian Grand Prix20253
Australian Grand Prix sprint20251
Grand Prix of Indonesia2025–DNF
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint20251
Grand Prix of Japan20254
Grand Prix of Japan sprint2025–DNF
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera20252
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera sprint20251
Grand Prix of Catalonia2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Hungary20253
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint20257
Grand Prix of Austria20253
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20254
Grand Prix of Czechia20252
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint20254
Grand Prix of Germany2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Germany sprint20252

Questions and answers

What are Marco Bezzecchi's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?

16% to win and 49% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What is Marco Bezzecchi's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?

Under 1%, with 357 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.