Red Bull KTM Factory Racing

Pedro Acosta

Rated 1829, 3 wins in 122 starts, 7% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, 0% to win the World Championship.

1829
Rating: rider +332, car or team -3. 3 wins in 122 starts.
7%
To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 24%.
0%
Title chance. 309 points now, projected 339.

Results

Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).

Grand PrixSeasonFinishNoteModel's pick
Grand Prix of Qatar20266
Grand Prix of Qatar sprint20266
Grand Prix of Malaysia20262
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint20261
Grand Prix of Australia sprint20265
Grand Prix of Indonesia20265
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint20266
Grand Prix of Japan20267
Grand Prix of Japan sprint2026–DNF
Grand Prix of Austria20261
Grand Prix of Austria sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of San Marino20263
Grand Prix of San Marino sprint20266
Grand Prix of Aragon20262
Grand Prix of Aragon sprint20264
Grand Prix of Great Britain20265
Grand Prix of Great Britain sprint20266
Grand Prix of Germany20264
Grand Prix of Germany sprint20268
Grand Prix of the Netherlands2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of the Netherlands sprint20269
Grand Prix of Czechia2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Hungary20262
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint20262
Grand Prix of Italy20266
Grand Prix of Italy sprint20269
Grand Prix of Catalonia2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint20262
Grand Prix de France20265
Grand Prix de France sprint20264
Grand Prix of Spain202610
Grand Prix of Spain sprint202612
Grand Prix of the United States20263
Grand Prix of the United States sprint20268
Grand Prix of Brazil20267
Grand Prix of Brazil sprint20269Favourite
Grand Prix of Thailand20262
Grand Prix of Thailand sprint20261
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community20254
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community sprint20252
Grand Prix of Portugal20253
Grand Prix of Portugal sprint20252
Grand Prix of Malaysia20252
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint20253
Australian Grand Prix20255
Australian Grand Prix sprint20253
Grand Prix of Indonesia20252
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Japan202517
Grand Prix of Japan sprint20253
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera sprint20255
Grand Prix of Catalonia20254
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint20254
Grand Prix of Hungary20252
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint202517
Grand Prix of Austria20254
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20253
Grand Prix of Czechia20253

Questions and answers

What are Pedro Acosta's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?

7% to win and 24% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What is Pedro Acosta's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?

0%, with 309 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.