2027 Cup Series championship
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 calendar and entry lists are out, this plays the 2026 calendar again a year on (36 events, the same points) 10,000 times, with the latest field and today's ratings. Each simulated season lets everyone's pace drift more than it would mid-season, because a winter changes teams and cars.
Drivers
| Driver | Points | Projected | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 0 | 2370 | 22% |
| Kyle Larson | 0 | 2365 | 20% |
| Christopher Bell | 0 | 2360 | 18% |
| Tyler Reddick | 0 | 2355 | 14% |
| Ryan Blaney | 0 | 2324 | 6% |
| Chase Briscoe | 0 | 2319 | 5% |
| Chase Elliott | 0 | 2311 | 4% |
| Ty Gibbs | 0 | 2310 | 4% |
| William Byron | 0 | 2307 | 3% |
| Joey Logano | 0 | 2293 | 2% |
| Corey Heim | 0 | 2275 | 1% |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | 0 | 2269 | <1% |
| Alex Bowman | 0 | 2255 | <1% |
| Bubba Wallace | 0 | 2252 | <1% |
| Ross Chastain | 0 | 2251 | <1% |
| Chris Buescher | 0 | 2242 | <1% |
| Austin Cindric | 0 | 2241 | <1% |
| Josh Berry | 0 | 2237 | <1% |
| Brad Keselowski | 0 | 2239 | <1% |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 0 | 2233 | <1% |
| Erik Jones | 0 | 2225 | <1% |
| Zane Smith | 0 | 2204 | <1% |
| Michael McDowell | 0 | 2234 | 0% |
| Daniel Suárez | 0 | 2223 | 0% |
| Ryan Preece | 0 | 2207 | 0% |
| AJ Allmendinger | 0 | 2202 | 0% |
| Justin Haley | 0 | 2201 | 0% |
| Cole Custer | 0 | 2199 | 0% |
| John H. Nemechek | 0 | 2200 | 0% |
| Casey Mears | 0 | 2193 | 0% |
| Chad Finchum | 0 | 2181 | 0% |
| Austin Dillon | 0 | 2186 | 0% |
| JJ Yeley | 0 | 2184 | 0% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 Cup Series championship?
Denny Hamlin, at 22%, ahead of Kyle Larson (20%) and Christopher Bell (18%), from 10,000 simulations of the remaining races with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.