12 Nov 2026 · Toyota Center (Houston)
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
We have Houston Rockets at 69.5% and Golden State Warriors at 30.4%.
Ratings going in: Rockets 1583, Warriors 1542, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: GS +0.3 game score against its usual (without Kristaps Porzingis, Brandon Williams, Gary Payton II and doubts over Stephen Curry, day-to-day); HOU +6.4 game score against its usual (without Steven Adams, Clint Capela). Net 48 rating points to HOU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Rockets | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 69.5% | 30.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Polymarket | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Kalshi | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Golden State Warriors WWWWW, Houston Rockets WWLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2026 | Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors | 55% | 45% |
| 2 Mar 2027 | Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets | 30% | 70% |
| 8 Mar 2027 | Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors | 55% | 45% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets?
PodiumOracle's model makes Houston Rockets the favourite at 70%, with Golden State Warriors at 30%. The markets give Houston Rockets 72% on Polymarket, 80% on Kalshi and 69% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 70% favourite still loses 30% of the time.
When and where is Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets?
12 November 2026, at Toyota Center (Houston). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.