Basketball · 2026–27 season

NBA forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the NBA championship odds. Favourite right now: New York Knicks, 32%.

Upcoming

Chance of winning the NBA championship

Every team

TeamTop sixMake playoffsConf. semifinalsConf. finalsReach FinalsWin title
New York Knicks99%>99%87%70%53%32%
San Antonio Spurs99%>99%83%61%39%23%
Oklahoma City Thunder98%>99%82%58%34%19%
Detroit Pistons84%94%60%31%14%5%
Boston Celtics85%94%59%31%13%5%
Denver Nuggets73%89%46%18%7%2%
Los Angeles Lakers68%86%41%15%5%2%
Cleveland Cavaliers64%83%40%16%6%2%
Minnesota Timberwolves65%85%40%15%5%2%
Houston Rockets67%86%40%15%5%2%