PodiumOracle NBA

Basketball · 2026–27 season

NBA forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the NBA championship odds. Favourite right now: San Antonio Spurs, 23%.

Upcoming

DateGameAwayHome
12 Nov 2026Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz64%36%
12 Nov 2026Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets30%70%
12 Nov 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers48%52%
13 Nov 2026Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers28%72%
13 Nov 2026Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards70%30%
13 Nov 2026Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves35%65%
13 Nov 2026Charlotte Hornets at Phoenix Suns27%73%
14 Nov 2026New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers66%34%
14 Nov 2026Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic28%72%
14 Nov 2026Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat46%54%
14 Nov 2026Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls63%37%
14 Nov 2026Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans53%47%
14 Nov 2026Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets11%89%
14 Nov 2026Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs26%74%
14 Nov 2026Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings68%32%
14 Nov 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers68%32%
15 Nov 2026Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans73%27%
15 Nov 2026Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers36%64%
15 Nov 2026Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat54%46%
15 Nov 2026Brooklyn Nets at Memphis Grizzlies32%68%
15 Nov 2026Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves21%79%
15 Nov 2026Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers25%75%
15 Nov 2026Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns45%55%
15 Nov 2026Charlotte Hornets at LA Clippers41%59%
15 Nov 2026San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz85%15%
15 Nov 2026Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics22%78%
15 Nov 2026New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors63%37%
16 Nov 2026Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards67%33%
16 Nov 2026Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks67%33%
16 Nov 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings71%29%
17 Nov 2026Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics18%82%
17 Nov 2026Chicago Bulls at Cleveland Cavaliers21%79%
17 Nov 2026Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards47%53%
17 Nov 2026Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets70%30%
17 Nov 2026Houston Rockets at Miami Heat55%45%
17 Nov 2026Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves43%57%
17 Nov 2026Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans62%38%
17 Nov 2026Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets30%70%
18 Nov 2026New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors63%37%
18 Nov 2026Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves43%57%
18 Nov 2026Detroit Pistons at San Antonio Spurs36%64%
18 Nov 2026Utah Jazz at LA Clippers28%73%
18 Nov 2026Charlotte Hornets at Los Angeles Lakers24%76%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
12 Nov 2026San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls124–11979%
12 Nov 2026Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies123–11854%
12 Nov 2026Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks123–11274%
12 Nov 2026Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans145–11135%
12 Nov 2026Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers101–11465%
12 Nov 2026Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks115–10727%
12 Nov 2026Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors98–9362%
11 Nov 2026Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers103–12348%
11 Nov 2026Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings107–10048%
11 Nov 2026LA Clippers at Phoenix Suns110–13371%
11 Nov 2026Miami Heat at Utah Jazz115–10975%
11 Nov 2026Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers123–10143%

Chance of winning the NBA championship

Every team

TeamTop sixMake playoffsConf. semifinalsConf. finalsReach FinalsWin title
San Antonio Spurs99%>99%83%58%36%23%
Boston Celtics>99%>99%87%61%36%18%
Oklahoma City Thunder98%>99%79%50%28%17%
New York Knicks99%>99%82%51%28%13%
Detroit Pistons99%>99%79%45%23%10%
Los Angeles Lakers94%98%64%30%13%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves87%97%57%25%11%6%
Houston Rockets78%94%42%15%6%2%
Cleveland Cavaliers80%94%47%16%5%2%
Denver Nuggets41%75%23%7%2%1%

Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 NBA championship?

San Antonio Spurs, at 23%, ahead of Boston Celtics (18%), Oklahoma City Thunder (17%) and New York Knicks (13%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What are the odds for the next NBA games?

According to PodiumOracle's model: Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz (12 November 2026): Orlando Magic 64%; Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (12 November 2026): Houston Rockets 70%; Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers (12 November 2026): Portland Trail Blazers 52%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's NBA predictions?

On 2,810 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 67% of the time. Its log loss was 0.596, against 0.690 for the base rate and 0.636 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.561 against the bookmakers' 0.540 over 839 games, 0.597 against Polymarket's 0.581 over 2,774 games and 0.595 against Kalshi's 0.576 over 1,569 games (lower is better).

How are the NBA predictions made?

Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the NBA championship odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.