13 Nov 2026 · Target Center
Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves
We have Minnesota Timberwolves at 65.5% and Dallas Mavericks at 34.5%.
Ratings going in: Timberwolves 1614, Mavericks 1462, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: DAL +7.7 game score against its usual (without Sergio de Larrea and doubts over Morez Johnson Jr., day-to-day); MIN -5.3 game score against its usual (without Anthony Edwards). Net 96 rating points to DAL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Timberwolves | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Polymarket | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Kalshi | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dallas Mavericks LLWWW, Minnesota Timberwolves LWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2027 | Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves | 35% | 65% |
| 4 Apr 2027 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks | 50% | 50% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves?
PodiumOracle's model makes Minnesota Timberwolves the favourite at 65%, with Dallas Mavericks at 35%. The markets give Minnesota Timberwolves 66% on Polymarket and 66% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 65% favourite still loses 35% of the time.
When and where is Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves?
13 November 2026, at Target Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.