15 Nov 2026 · Smoothie King Center
Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans
We have New Orleans Pelicans at 26.9% and Denver Nuggets at 73.2%.
Ratings going in: Pelicans 1375, Nuggets 1551, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: DEN +10.7 game score against its usual; NO +4.0 game score against its usual (without Trey Murphy III, Bennedict Mathurin, Yves Missi, Trendon Watford). Net 53 rating points to DEN.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Pelicans | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 26.9% | 73.2% |
| Polymarket | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Kalshi | 18.0% | 82.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Denver Nuggets LWWLW, New Orleans Pelicans WLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets | 135–141 | 78% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans | 104–91 | 63% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2027 | New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets | 16% | 84% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans?
PodiumOracle's model makes Denver Nuggets the favourite at 73%, with New Orleans Pelicans at 27%. The markets give Denver Nuggets 78% on Polymarket and 79% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 73% favourite still loses 27% of the time.
When and where is Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans?
15 November 2026, at Smoothie King Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.