15 Nov 2026 · Rocket Arena
Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers
We have Cleveland Cavaliers at 64.1% and Dallas Mavericks at 35.9%.
Ratings going in: Cavaliers 1554, Mavericks 1462, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: DAL +7.7 game score against its usual (without Sergio de Larrea and doubts over Morez Johnson Jr., day-to-day); CLE +2.0 game score against its usual (without Sam Merrill). Net 46 rating points to DAL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cavaliers | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Polymarket | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Kalshi | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dallas Mavericks LLWWW, Cleveland Cavaliers LWLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2027 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks | 49% | 51% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers?
PodiumOracle's model makes Cleveland Cavaliers the favourite at 64%, with Dallas Mavericks at 36%. The markets give Cleveland Cavaliers 59% on Polymarket and 61% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 64% favourite still loses 36% of the time.
When and where is Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers?
15 November 2026, at Rocket Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.