15 Nov 2026 · Mortgage Matchup Center
Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns
We have Phoenix Suns at 54.6% and Los Angeles Lakers at 45.4%.
Ratings going in: Suns 1505, Lakers 1621, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: LAL -6.6 game score against its usual (without Austin Reaves, Quentin Grimes and doubts over Collin Sexton, day-to-day); PHX +5.0 game score against its usual. Net 93 rating points to PHX.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Suns | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Polymarket | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| Kalshi | 26.0% | 74.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Los Angeles Lakers WWWWW, Phoenix Suns LWWLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2027 | Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns | 45% | 55% |
| 18 Mar 2027 | Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers | 39% | 61% |
| 12 Apr 2027 | Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers | 39% | 61% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns?
PodiumOracle's model makes Phoenix Suns the favourite at 55%, with Los Angeles Lakers at 45%. The markets give Phoenix Suns 33% on Polymarket and 35% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns?
15 November 2026, at Mortgage Matchup Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.