15 Nov 2026 · TD Garden
Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics
We have Boston Celtics at 77.6% and Dallas Mavericks at 22.4%.
Ratings going in: Celtics 1648, Mavericks 1462, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: DAL +7.7 game score against its usual (without Sergio de Larrea and doubts over Morez Johnson Jr., day-to-day); BOS +4.6 game score against its usual (doubts over Paul George, day-to-day). Net 25 rating points to DAL.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Celtics | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Polymarket | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Kalshi | 81.0% | 19.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dallas Mavericks LLWWW, Boston Celtics WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2026 | Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks | 65% | 35% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics?
PodiumOracle's model makes Boston Celtics the favourite at 78%, with Dallas Mavericks at 22%. The markets give Boston Celtics 80% on Polymarket and 82% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 78% favourite still loses 22% of the time.
When and where is Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics?
15 November 2026, at TD Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.