16 Nov 2026 · Capital One Arena
Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards
We have Washington Wizards at 32.9% and Houston Rockets at 67.1%.
Ratings going in: Wizards 1322, Rockets 1583, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: HOU +6.4 game score against its usual (without Steven Adams, Clint Capela); WSH +16.6 game score against its usual (without Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins, Reece Beekman). Net 82 rating points to WSH.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Wizards | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Polymarket | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Kalshi | 14.0% | 86.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Houston Rockets WWLLW, Washington Wizards LLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2027 | Washington Wizards at Houston Rockets | 21% | 79% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards?
PodiumOracle's model makes Houston Rockets the favourite at 67%, with Washington Wizards at 33%. The markets give Houston Rockets 81% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 67% favourite still loses 33% of the time.
When and where is Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards?
16 November 2026, at Capital One Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.