17 Nov 2026 · TD Garden
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics
We have Boston Celtics at 82.4% and Orlando Magic at 17.6%.
Ratings going in: Celtics 1648, Magic 1478, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: ORL -0.8 game score against its usual (without Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva, Jamal Cain); BOS +4.6 game score against its usual (doubts over Paul George, day-to-day). Net 43 rating points to BOS.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Celtics | Magic |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 82.4% | 17.6% |
| Polymarket | 74.5% | 25.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Orlando Magic LLLLW, Boston Celtics WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic | 108–97 | 61% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2027 | Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics | 18% | 82% |
| 7 Apr 2027 | Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic | 71% | 29% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics?
PodiumOracle's model makes Boston Celtics the favourite at 82%, with Orlando Magic at 18%. The markets give Boston Celtics 80% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 82% favourite still loses 18% of the time.
When and where is Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics?
17 November 2026, at TD Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.