2 Oct 2026
Adelaide 36ers at Illawarra Hawks
36ers 92 – 114 Hawks · Illawarra Hawks won. We had Illawarra Hawks at 51.4% and Adelaide 36ers at 48.6%.
Ratings before the game: Hawks 1471, 36ers 1521, plus 60 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Hawks | 36ers |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Polymarket | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Kalshi | 34.5% | 65.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Adelaide 36ers WLW, Illawarra Hawks LLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Illawarra Hawks at Adelaide 36ers | 78–106 | 64% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2026 | Adelaide 36ers at Illawarra Hawks | 48% | 52% |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Illawarra Hawks at Adelaide 36ers | 36% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Adelaide 36ers at Illawarra Hawks?
Illawarra Hawks won 114–92 on 2 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Illawarra Hawks 51%.