PodiumOracle NBL

Basketball · 2026–27 season

NBL forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the NBL championship odds. Favourite right now: Sydney Kings, 24%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeAway
26 Sep 2026New Zealand Breakers at Perth Wildcats59%41%
27 Sep 2026Cairns Taipans at Adelaide 36ers64%36%
27 Sep 2026Illawarra Hawks at Sydney Kings67%33%
30 Sep 2026Cairns Taipans at New Zealand Breakers62%38%
30 Sep 2026Brisbane Bullets at Sydney Kings67%33%
1 Oct 2026Melbourne United at Tasmania JackJumpers55%45%
2 Oct 2026Adelaide 36ers at Illawarra Hawks54%46%
2 Oct 2026South East Melbourne Phoenix at Perth Wildcats58%42%
3 Oct 2026Tasmania JackJumpers at Brisbane Bullets57%43%
3 Oct 2026Cairns Taipans at Melbourne United64%36%
4 Oct 2026Illawarra Hawks at South East Melbourne Phoenix63%37%
4 Oct 2026New Zealand Breakers at Adelaide 36ers61%39%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
25 Sep 2026Illawarra Hawks at Brisbane Bullets95–10356%
24 Sep 2026Adelaide 36ers at Perth Wildcats97–9856%
24 Sep 2026Melbourne United at South East Melbourne Phoenix86–6138%
23 Sep 2026Tasmania JackJumpers at Cairns Taipans87–9354%
22 Sep 2026New Zealand Breakers at Brisbane Bullets85–8853%
21 Sep 2026South East Melbourne Phoenix at Tasmania JackJumpers91–9653%
20 Sep 2026Cairns Taipans at Sydney Kings90–11167%
20 Sep 2026Illawarra Hawks at New Zealand Breakers81–9559%
19 Sep 2026South East Melbourne Phoenix at Perth Wildcats100–7942%
19 Sep 2026Adelaide 36ers at Melbourne United97–9542%

Chance of winning the NBL championship

Every team

TeamMake finalsTop twoSemi-finalGrand finalWin title
Sydney Kings84%45%69%40%24%
Melbourne United72%28%51%26%13%
Adelaide 36ers70%25%49%26%12%
South East Melbourne Phoenix59%17%38%19%10%
Perth Wildcats60%17%39%19%9%
New Zealand Breakers59%17%38%18%8%
Tasmania JackJumpers58%17%36%16%8%
Brisbane Bullets58%16%35%15%7%
Illawarra Hawks38%8%21%10%4%
Cairns Taipans44%10%24%10%4%