10 Oct 2026
Melbourne United at South East Melbourne Phoenix
United 104 – 99 Phoenix · Melbourne United won. We had South East Melbourne Phoenix at 59.3% and Melbourne United at 40.8%.
Ratings before the game: Phoenix 1511, United 1506, plus 60 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Phoenix | United |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 59.3% | 40.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Polymarket | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Kalshi | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Melbourne United LWLLW, South East Melbourne Phoenix WLLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Melbourne United at South East Melbourne Phoenix | 86–61 | 38% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | South East Melbourne Phoenix at Melbourne United | 33% | 67% |
| 11 Feb 2027 | South East Melbourne Phoenix at Melbourne United | 33% | 67% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Melbourne United at South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Melbourne United won 104–99 on 10 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Melbourne United 41%.