13 Nov 2026
Brisbane Bullets at New Zealand Breakers
We have New Zealand Breakers at 60.6% and Brisbane Bullets at 39.4%.
Ratings going in: Breakers 1479, Bullets 1464, plus 60 for playing at home.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Breakers | Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Polymarket | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Kalshi | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Brisbane Bullets WLWWL, New Zealand Breakers LLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | New Zealand Breakers at Brisbane Bullets | 85–88 | 53% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2026 | Brisbane Bullets at New Zealand Breakers | 39% | 61% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Brisbane Bullets at New Zealand Breakers?
PodiumOracle's model makes New Zealand Breakers the favourite at 61%, with Brisbane Bullets at 39%. The markets give New Zealand Breakers 49% on Kalshi and 49% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 61% favourite still loses 39% of the time.
When and where is Brisbane Bullets at New Zealand Breakers?
13 November 2026. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.