Big Ten

Michigan State

Rated 1685 (No. 4 of 62), 6–2 this season, 8% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

83%
Make NCAA tournament
49%
Regional final
27%
Frozen Four
15%
Title game
8%
Win title
22.3
Projected wins

Rating

Michigan State is rated 1685, No. 4 of 62. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
13 Nov 2026Michigan State at Notre Dame68%10%22%
14 Nov 2026Michigan State at Notre Dame68%10%22%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
7 Nov 2026Boston University at Michigan State0–554%

Questions and answers

What is Michigan State's chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

8%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Michigan State is No. 4 of 62 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Michigan State play next, and what are their chances?

Michigan State at Notre Dame on 13 November 2026. PodiumOracle's model gives Michigan State 68%, a draw 10%.