Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
NCAA men's hockey forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the national championship odds. Favourite right now: Michigan, 15%.
Upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | Harvard at Boston University | 6–5 | 21% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Denver at Arizona State | 1–0 | 66% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Miami at Minnesota-Duluth | 1–2 | 65% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | St. Cloud State at Omaha | 3–5 | 45% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Western Michigan at North Dakota | 1–4 | 41% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Bemidji State at Bowling Green | 3–5 | 66% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Augustana at Michigan Tech | 2–2 | 13% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Minnesota State at Northern Michigan | 3–0 | 64% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Army at Air Force | 0–2 | 40% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Canisius at Sacred Heart | 2–5 | 65% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | RIT at Bentley | 3–0 | 20% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Mass.-Lowell at New Hampshire | 4–5 | 61% |
Chance of winning the national championship
| Team | Make NCAA tournament | Regional final | Frozen Four | Title game | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 99% | 67% | 41% | 25% | 15% |
| Denver | 97% | 64% | 38% | 23% | 13% |
| Western Michigan | 84% | 51% | 29% | 17% | 9% |
| Michigan State | 83% | 49% | 27% | 15% | 8% |
| Wisconsin | 91% | 54% | 30% | 15% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac | 96% | 56% | 29% | 15% | 7% |
| North Dakota | 82% | 47% | 25% | 13% | 7% |
| Providence | 82% | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% |
| Augustana | 94% | 48% | 22% | 10% | 4% |
| Colorado College | 69% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 national championship?
Michigan, at 15%, ahead of Denver (13%), Western Michigan (9%) and Michigan State (8%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next NCAA men's hockey games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Michigan State at Notre Dame (13 November 2026): Michigan State 68%, a draw 10%; Bentley at Air Force (13 November 2026): Bentley 46%, a draw 13%; Boston College at Massachusetts (14 November 2026): Massachusetts 52%, a draw 13%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's NCAA men's hockey predictions?
On 2,591 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 61% of the time. Its log loss was 0.842, against 0.907 for the base rate and 0.879 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.766 against the bookmakers' 0.653 over 203 games and 0.880 against Kalshi's 0.779 over 96 games (lower is better).
How are the NCAA men's hockey predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the national championship odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.