14 Nov 2026 · The Palestra
North Carolina Tar Heels at Pennsylvania Quakers
We have Pennsylvania Quakers at 12.6% and North Carolina Tar Heels at 87.4%.
Ratings going in: Penn 1794, North Carolina 2207, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: UNC +3.8 game score against its usual; PENN +4.1 game score against its usual. Net 2 rating points to PENN.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Penn | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 12.6% | 87.4% |
| Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: North Carolina Tar Heels LLW, Pennsylvania Quakers WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win North Carolina Tar Heels at Pennsylvania Quakers?
PodiumOracle's model makes North Carolina Tar Heels the favourite at 87%, with Pennsylvania Quakers at 13%. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 87% favourite still loses 13% of the time.
When and where is North Carolina Tar Heels at Pennsylvania Quakers?
14 November 2026, at The Palestra. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.