13 Nov 2026 · Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena
Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers
We have UMBC Retrievers at 96.0% and Morgan State Lady Bears at 4.0%.
Ratings going in: UMBC 1720, Morgan St 1243, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: MORG +1.9 game score against its usual; UMBC +1.7 game score against its usual. Net 2 rating points to MORG.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | UMBC | Morgan St |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| Polymarket | 95.0% | 5.0% |
| Kalshi | 95.5% | 4.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Morgan State Lady Bears WLLL, UMBC Retrievers WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers?
PodiumOracle's model makes UMBC Retrievers the favourite at 96%, with Morgan State Lady Bears at 4%. The markets give UMBC Retrievers 95% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 96% favourite still loses 4% of the time.
When and where is Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers?
13 November 2026, at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.