America East Conference
UMBC Retrievers
Rated 1720 (No. 133 of 363), 3–0 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 16%
- Make tournament
- 1%
- Sweet 16
- 0%
- Final Four
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 18.6
- Projected wins
Rating
UMBC Retrievers is rated 1720, No. 133 of 363. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers | 4% | 96% |
Questions and answers
What is UMBC Retrievers' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. UMBC Retrievers are No. 133 of 363 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do UMBC Retrievers play next, and what are their chances?
Morgan State Lady Bears at UMBC Retrievers on 13 November 2026 at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. PodiumOracle's model gives UMBC Retrievers 96%.