12 Nov 2026 · CEFCU Arena
Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds
We have Illinois State Redbirds at 53.1% and Green Bay Phoenix at 46.9%.
Ratings going in: Illinois St 1787, Green Bay 1848, plus 75 for playing at home.
Who is playing: GB +5.2 game score against its usual; ILST +6.2 game score against its usual. Net 8 rating points to ILST.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Illinois St | Green Bay |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Polymarket | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Kalshi | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Green Bay Phoenix LW, Illinois State Redbirds WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds?
PodiumOracle's model makes Illinois State Redbirds the favourite at 53%, with Green Bay Phoenix at 47%. The markets give Illinois State Redbirds 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 53% favourite still loses 47% of the time.
When and where is Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds?
12 November 2026, at CEFCU Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.