Missouri Valley Conference
Illinois State Redbirds
Rated 1787 (No. 104 of 363), 3–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 57%
- Make tournament
- 4%
- Sweet 16
- <1%
- Final Four
- <1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 22.7
- Projected wins
Rating
Illinois State Redbirds is rated 1787, No. 104 of 363. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds | 47% | 53% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Illinois State Redbirds at Saint Louis Billikens | 82% | 18% |
Questions and answers
What is Illinois State Redbirds' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Illinois State Redbirds are No. 104 of 363 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Illinois State Redbirds play next, and what are their chances?
Green Bay Phoenix at Illinois State Redbirds on 12 November 2026 at CEFCU Arena. PodiumOracle's model gives Illinois State Redbirds 53%.