Week 9 · 9 Nov 2026 · Soldier Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears
Buccaneers 24 – 27 Bears · Chicago Bears won. We had Chicago Bears at 72.4% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 27.6%.
Ratings before the game: Bears 1612, Buccaneers 1502, plus 33 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 9 km/h (gusts 28).
The betting market (closing moneyline) had Bears at 71.4%, spread -6.5, total 47.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Bears | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| Polymarket | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Kalshi | 72.0% | 28.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers LWLWW, Chicago Bears WLWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears?
Chicago Bears won 27–24 on 9 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Chicago Bears 72%.