NFC North

Chicago Bears

Rated 1618 (No. 4 of 32), 7–2 this season, 9% to win the Super Bowl.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

86%
Make playoffs
37%
Win division
17%
First-round bye
18%
Win conference
9%
Win Super Bowl
11.7
Projected wins

Rating

Chicago Bears is rated 1618, No. 4 of 32. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
9 Nov 2026Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears24–2772%

Questions and answers

What is Chicago Bears' chance of winning the 2026 Super Bowl?

9%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Chicago Bears are No. 4 of 32 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.